Glowing reviews and general word of mouth will help fire Spider-Man: Homecoming toward an opening weekend in the region of $100 million domestically which, coupled with an estimated $90m-$110 million overseas, will result in a worldwide launch to the tune of $190M-$210M. Not bad for the sixth Spidey movie and second live-action reboot in almost 15 years.
Deadline put together this last-minute box office forecast, which notes that by Friday, Homecoming will have already touched down in 60 percent of international markets, with the exception of five heavyweights: France, Germany, Spain, Japan, and China. Sony’s projection for the film’s overseas debut is slightly more conservative by comparison, after the studio earmarked the $80-$85M ballpark as its official estimate.
Nevertheless, Spider-Man: Homecoming is barrelling down on an impressive opening by anyone’s standard, and it looks certain that Jon Watts’ summer blockbuster will become the third film to score $100 million-plus domestically during its opening weekend – Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 and Wonder Woman being the other two to achieve said feat. That tally becomes all the more impressive when you consider that Transformers: The Last Knight ($44 million) and Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales ($62 million) struggled to leave much of a mark on home turf, and therefore had to lean on overseas markets to offset domestic disappointment.
For Marvel and Sony, that licensing agreement is about to yield huge rewards. Of course, despite fears of franchise fatigue, the decision to incorporate Tom Holland’s Web-Head into the overarching Marvel Cinematic Universe has given Homecoming a huge boost in anticipation of its theatrical launch. The only questions left now is, how far can the film’s box office total climb?
All will be revealed when Spider-Man: Homecoming scurries into theaters on July 7th.