The nominees were announced last month without many surprises (the biggest was probably that The Ides of March got several unexpected nods), but overall we saw the same suspects we’ve been seeing throughout awards season including The Artist, The Descendants, Hugo, Moneyball, and Midnight in Paris.
So, without further ado, let’s dive right in:
Best Picture – Drama
The Ides of March
At the moment, it feels like The Descendants is going to be taking it. I would love to say that Hugo, or even Moneyball, will overtake it, but it seems like that’s a bit of a longshot. Of these films, The Descendants was the only was I was disappointed by and I’d much prefer to see another film walk away with the prize.
Best Picture – Comedy or Musical
Midnight in Paris
My Week with Marilyn
There’s a 99.9% chance that The Artist will walk away with this award seeing as how its only real competition here is Midnight in Paris. The majority of its competition is over in the drama category, which means this win won’t tell us very much in regards to the Oscars.
However, this is the Hollywood Foreign Press we’re talking about here, they’ve been known to make some pretty big blunders before, though in this case, the only really big blunder they could do here is to choose Bridesmaids. Even though I really enjoyed The Artist, I would personally have to go with Midnight in Paris on this one, which took the #2 spot on my Top Ten Films of 2011.
Woody Allen, Midnight In Paris
George Clooney, The Ides of March
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
This one seems to be going in Hazanvicius’s direction with the love of his film being almost universal, though its really hard to count Marty out. I’m thinking it’s going to be Hazanavicius because of the amazing silent movie style he was able to replicate, though I wouldn’t be surprised if they went with Scorsese for his own tribute to silent film.
Best Actress, Drama
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Oh, how I’d love to say that Swinton has this locked up for her brilliant performance in We Need To Talk About Kevin, but alas this seems to be a race between Streep, a performance I have yet to see, and Davis, who recently took home the BFCA’s award for Best Actress. If I had to guess, I would say that Davis will take it for her amazing performance in The Help.
Best Actor, Drama
George Clooney, The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio, J Edgar
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Just like it’s been all awards season, this remains a race between Clooney and Pitt. My gut tells me that it’s going to be Clooney, who recently won the BFCA’s award for Best Actor, though I’m hoping Pitt can stage a comeback for his excellent performance in Moneyball, perhaps even nabbing the Oscar itself.
Best Actress Comedy or Musical
Jodie Foster, Carnage
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
Kate Winslet, Carnage
Williams has been a favorite throughout awards season, so this seems like another sure-thing, though I’d love to see Foster or Winslet honored for their great work in Polanski’s Carnage.
Best Actor Comedy or Musical
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Brendan Gleeson, The Guard
Joseph Gordon Levitt, 50/50
Ryan Gosling, Crazy Stupid Love
Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris
With the continual love for The Artist, it seems like Dujardin will take this one easily enough for his outstanding performance as a major silent film star on the decline. It would be a well-deserved win, though I wouldn’t mind seeing Wilson given some acknowledgment for his sweet, lighthearted performance in Midnight in Paris.
Best Actor Supporting
Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
The signs seem to be pointing toward Plummer taking the category. He recently won the same category at the Critics’ Choice Awards despite being behind Brooks throughout awards season, so it also wouldn’t surprise me if Brooks ends up taking it.
Best Actress Supporting
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain , The Help
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
Spencer recently won this category at the Critics’ Choice Awards, so I’m thinking she’ll take it, though the love of The Artist could allow Bejo to sneak in and snatch it away.
Best Foreign Language Film
A Separation (Iran)
The Flowers Of War (China)
The Kid With The Bike (Belgium)
In The Land Of Blood and Honey (USA)
The Skin I Live In (Spain)
It would be a shock if anything other than A Separation were to take the category as it’s been the favorite Foreign Language Film throughout awards season.
Best Animated Feature
The Adventures of Tintin
Puss in Boots
Rango has been the favorite in this category throughout awards season, so there’s no reason to start doubting it now. As I’ve already said repeatedly, I found Tintin to be superior, and while it has been getting some recognition from a few critics groups, it doesn’t seem to have enough momentum to overtake the current leader.
Midnight in Paris, Woody Allen
The Ides of March, George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon
The Artist, Michel Hazanavicius
The Descendants, Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash
Moneyball, Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin
Here’s an interesting batch of nominees that’s really hard to call. Unfortunately, the HFPA doesn’t divide their screenplay category into Original and Adapted, so we have everything combined, making it a rather tough decision.
Midnight in Paris and The Artist have been popular in the Original category while The Descendants and Moneyball have been really popular in the Adapted category.
Do you see the dilemma? If I had to guess, I’d say Allen will take it for his brilliant combination of artistic personalities, though I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the excellent Moneyball swoops in to take it for its crackling dialogue.
The Artist, Ludovic Bource
W.E., Abel Korzeniowski
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
Hugo, Howard Shore
War Horse, John Williams
Seeing as how the amazing score for The Artist was one of the major driving forces behind the film, I’d have to say that Bource will take this category.
Best Original Song
“Hello Hello” – “Gnomeo & Juliet – Elton John
“Lay Your Head Down” – “Albert Nobbs” – Sinead O’Connor
“The Living Proof” – “The Help” – Mary J. Blige
“The Keeper” – “Machine Gun Preacher” – Gerard Butler
“Masterpiece” – “W.E.” – Madonna
This is a complete stab in the dark seeing as how I only remember two of these songs, but I’d say Hello Hello just because it was rather catchy.
Well, there you have my best guesses as to tomorrow night’s results.
Now let’s hear what you guys think. Do you agree, disagree? Who would you like to see take home the awards?