The most dangerous moment’: Get ready for a 2-front war with Russia AND China by 2027, warns EU Defense Commissioner

The European Union’s inaugural defense commissioner has issued a stark and urgent warning, signaling that the global landscape could face its “most dangerous moment” as early as 2027. This critical juncture is anticipated to arise from potentially coordinated aggressive actions by Russia and China, designed to severely test and potentially overwhelm Western defense capabilities.

Andrius Kubilius, the EU’s commissioner for defense and space, articulated this concern during a recent briefing in Washington, echoing similar sentiments previously expressed by U.S. Air Force Gen. Alexus Grynkewich, NATO’s highest-ranking commander for air operations. Both officials have independently pinpointed 2027 as a pivotal year, suggesting it could witness simultaneous military endeavors by Moscow and Beijing that would stretch the transatlantic alliance to its absolute limits.

According to Fox News, Kubilius explicitly stated, “The most dangerous moment can be in 2027, when both Russia and China will make these aggressive moves in a coordinated way.” This aligns directly with Gen. Grynkewich’s caution from the previous week, where he underscored the necessity for the United States and its European allies to prepare for the daunting prospect of fighting two wars concurrently. It also makes Russia’s stance of not taking threats from other countries seriously seem a lot more intimidating.

The EU is warning countries about a possible alliance

A conflict could unfold in Europe, should Russian President Vladimir Putin escalate the ongoing situation in Ukraine or broaden aggression into Eastern Europe. The second, equally critical front, would be in the Pacific, triggered by a potential invasion of Taiwan by Chinese President Xi Jinping. Grynkewich emphasized the scale of resources required, stating, “We’re going to need every bit of kit and equipment and munitions that we can in order to beat that.”

The warnings from both European and NATO officials resonate deeply with existing concerns within the U.S. defense establishment, particularly regarding the concept known as the “Davidson Window.” This term originated from former Indo-Pacific Command chief Adm. Philip Davidson, who, in his 2021 testimony before Congress, projected that China might attempt to forcibly reunify with Taiwan by 2027.

This assessment has since become a widely referenced benchmark for military strategists as they formulate plans for a potential crisis in the Indo-Pacific region. The 2027 timeframe gains additional urgency as China rapidly advances its military modernization agenda, with President Xi Jinping’s stated aim of achieving “world-class” warfighting capabilities for the People’s Liberation Army by its centennial in 2027. This is all while the U.S. is still trying to work well with the UN.

The commissioner stressed that Europe’s commitment must extend beyond merely funding its defense; it must actively build it. He highlighted a notable reduction in the EU’s reliance on U.S.-made weapons, with imports decreasing from 60% to 40% of total arms acquisitions. The ambition is to further diminish this dependency through a significant increase in domestic production.

As the defense commissioner, Kubilius is tasked with overseeing the implementation of an ambitious $840 billion framework titled “Re-Arm Europe.” This comprehensive initiative includes a substantial €150 billion loan facility, made available to member states specifically for expanding their armed forces and bolstering industrial capacities.