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PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - JULY 13: Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign event at the Asian and Pacific Islander American Vote Presidential Town Hall at the Pennsylvania Convention Center on July 13, 2024 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Harris continues campaigning ahead of the presidential election as Democrats face doubts about President Biden's fitness in his run for re-election against former President Donald Trump. (Photo by Drew Hallowell/Getty Images)
Photo by Drew Hallowell/Getty Images

Is Kamala Harris predicted to win the 2024 election over Donald Trump? The Rasmussen Poll, explained

Kamala's nomination has even managed affect an allegedly biased poll.

With Kamala Harris being crowned the Democrats’ representative in the 2024 Presidential elections, early polls reveal Donald Trump is about to face another brutal defeat at the urns.

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On August 2, 2024, Vice President Kamala Harris officially secured the Democratic presidential nomination. This milestone achievement makes Harris the first Black woman and the first Asian American to head a major-party ticket in a U.S. presidential election.

Since President Joe Biden has decided to drop out of this year’s election race, Harris’s campaign has shown significant momentum, particularly in fundraising efforts. In July 2024, her campaign raised an impressive $310 million, more than doubling the amount raised by her Republican opponent, Donald Trump. This substantial financial backing indicates strong support for Harris among Democratic donors and could give her a significant advantage in campaign resources as the election approaches.

Harris is already reaping the fruits of her blazing campaign, as political polls give her an obvious advantage over Trump.

The Rasmussen Poll results greatly favor Kamala Harris

The most recent Rasmussen Poll, conducted from July 29-31, 2024, among 3,000 registered voters, shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading with 47% support, compared to Donald Trump’s 42%. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., running as a third-party candidate, garnered 6% of the vote. This represents a significant shift from the poll conducted just a week earlier, from July 22-23, which showed Trump leading Harris by a narrow margin of 48% to 46%, with Kennedy at 2%.

It’s worth noting that the Rasmussen Poll has often been criticized for its political bias. Its results tend to inflate Republican voting intention compared to electoral results, which means the actual numbers may favor Harris even more.

While the Rasmussen Poll offers intriguing insights into the Harris-Trump contest, it should not be viewed as a definitive predictor of the 2024 election outcome. As with all polling data, it represents a snapshot in time and should be considered alongside other factors, such as campaign strategies, economic conditions, and unforeseen events that may shape the political landscape in the months leading up to the election.

Furthermore, while Harris gathered more voters, Kennedy did his part stealing votes from Trump, according to the polls. That means his decision to remain in the race in the next months might shift results toward Harris or Trump. In short, the battle is far from over, and Harris needs to be smart about using the renovated Democratic energy to win the elections. Still, there’s reason to hope when even a Republican-leaning poll declares Harris as an early winner.


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Marco Vito Oddo
Marco Vito Oddo is a writer, journalist, and amateur game designer. Passionate about superhero comic books, horror films, and indie games, he has his byline added to portals such as We Got This Covered, The Gamer, and Collider. When he's not working, Marco Vito is gaming, spending time with his dog, or writing fiction. Currently, he's working on a comic book project named Otherkin.