We Got This Covered’s Early Oscar Predictions

October 2014 should go down as one of the best months in cinema history. On the one hand, the box office has been on fire, surpassing its monthly record. As for the quality of these titles, though, it is hard to think of another 31-day period that saw so many exceptional releases.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Recommended Videos

635483774418719401-01-simmons

Last year, despite the likes of Michael Fassbender and Jared Leto burning up the screen, there was not much competition in this supporting category. Without too many frontrunners, there could be room for a lot of admired actors with Academy appeal to sneak into the category.

Similar to the other categories, a lot of this category is riding on the success of the films. In the prior ceremony, Barkhad Abdi, Bradley Cooper and Jonah Hill managed to snag berths. However, they all starred in $100-million grossers in the United States, and may not have received the same attention had their films flopped at the box office. As a result, strong turns from character actors like Jonathan Pryce (Listen Up Philip) and Dominic West and Bill Nighy (Pride) will likely not be in contention. Meanwhile, if Selma and A Most Violent Year do not grasp much popularity at the end of year, it could spell trouble for Tom Wilkinson and Albert Brooks, respectively. (The latter was considered a surefire contender for Drive in 2012, but failed to snag a nomination.)

Meanwhile, there are a lot of ex-Oscar winners who have potential to sway crowds. Robert Duvall has earned praise for his turn in The Judge, although that film has not kept up much momentum in recent weeks. Christoph Waltz has won two Oscars in the last five years and could sneak into the category if people like his turn in Tim Burton’s Big Eyes.

Like the Best Actor race, one should prepare for a lot of newcomers. J.K. Simmons has earned rapturous reviews as the antagonist (a character type often honored in this category) of Whiplash, although the box office has been more muted than expected. Japanese musician Miyavi is also getting a lot of buzz for playing another similarly sadistic villain, POW guard Mutsuhiro Watanabe, in Angelina Jolie’s Unbroken. Meanwhile, would it surprise you to learn that John Goodman has never received an Academy Award nomination? From the looks of the red-band trailer for The Gambler, this could be the year that all changes.

As for other good bets, Edward Norton is getting raves for his self-referential turn in Birdman – almost as many as his co-star, Michael Keaton. Mark Ruffalo and Channing Tatum have received similar strong reviews for Foxcatcher. Josh Brolin’s offbeat performance in Inherent Vice could earn some love, but the film may be too polarizing for Academy tastes (although that didn’t stop Jonah Hill from getting a second nom). Far from the diversity of crazy and venomous turns in this category, Ethan Hawke has some momentum going into the race due to the goodwill surrounding Boyhood. He could receive his second career nomination in the category, which seems a safer bet by the day.

Early Predictions:

  • John Goodman, The Gambler
  • Miyavi, Unbroken
  • Edward Norton, Birdman
  • Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
  • J.K. Simmons, Whiplash

Possible Spoilers:

  • Albert Brooks, A Most Violent Year
  • Robert Duvall, The Judge
  • Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
  • Channing Tatum, Foxcatcher
  • Christoph Waltz, Big Eyes

We Got This Covered is supported by our audience. When you purchase through links on our site, we may earn a small affiliate commission. Learn more
related content
Read Article ‘My day is ruined’: This furry surprise is every foodie’s grossest nightmare come to life
Screenshots of a post from TikTok user @funkyfrogbait
Read Article Oliver Stone’s 10 Best Films
platoon-1986
Read Article 5 Marvel characters Emma Corrin could be playing in ‘Deadpool 3’
Read Article ‘The Rings of Power’ EP promises a darker, grittier, and scarier second season
the lord of the rings sauron
Read Article What is the new student debt relief plan? How to sign up for student loan forgiveness, explained
Protest for student debt relief
Related Content
Read Article ‘My day is ruined’: This furry surprise is every foodie’s grossest nightmare come to life
Screenshots of a post from TikTok user @funkyfrogbait
Read Article Oliver Stone’s 10 Best Films
platoon-1986
Read Article 5 Marvel characters Emma Corrin could be playing in ‘Deadpool 3’
Read Article ‘The Rings of Power’ EP promises a darker, grittier, and scarier second season
the lord of the rings sauron
Read Article What is the new student debt relief plan? How to sign up for student loan forgiveness, explained
Protest for student debt relief
Author
Jordan Adler
Jordan Adler is a film buff who consumes so much popcorn, he expects that a coroner's report will one day confirm that butter runs through his veins. A recent graduate of Carleton's School of Journalism, where he also majored in film studies, Jordan's writing has been featured in Tribute Magazine, the Canadian Jewish News, Marketing Magazine, Toronto Film Scene, ANDPOP and SamaritanMag.com. He is also working on a feature-length screenplay.